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考虑旅客群体出行偏好的高铁客流分配方法

High-speed railway passenger flow assignment method considering travel preferences of passenger groups

  • 摘要: 针对不同旅客出行群体(简称:群体)的出行偏好进行客流分配研究,考虑各群体对出行过程各环节的敏感度差异,定义各群体主观出行成本。构造“时间—空间—群体”三维出行网络,描述各群体旅客出行过程的不同出行行为,并设计出行网络费用;基于列车定员约束构建网络流模型,描述各群体出行选择和运力占用过程,求解各群体层出行路径的客流分布状态;通过对京兰(北京—兰州)高速铁路京呼段(北京北—呼和浩特东)客流分配算例分析表明,不同群体出行偏好对客流分布和客流转移具有显著影响。该客流分配方法不仅能够很好地描述各出行群体对不同出行方案的敏感性,刻画各群体间旅客对有限运力资源的竞争博弈过程,还可以评价运力配置,对铁路客运运力调整和客运产品设计具有参考意义。

     

    Abstract: This paper conducted a study on passenger flow assignment based on the travel preferences of different groups of travelers (referred to as "groups"), considered the differences in sensitivity of each group to various aspects of the travel process, and defined the subjective travel costs of each group. The paper constructed a three-dimensional travel network of "time - space -group" to describe the different travel behaviors of each group of passengers during their travel process, and designed the travel network costs, constructed a network flow model based on train occupancy constraints, described the travel choices and capacity occupancy processes of various groups, and solved the passenger flow distribution status of travel routes for various groups at different levels. The analysis of passenger flow distribution on the Jing - Hu section (Beijing North - Hohhot East) of the Beijing - Lanzhou high-speed railway shows that different groups' travel preferences have a significant impact on passenger flow distribution and transfer. This passenger flow assignment method can not only well describe the sensitivity of different travel groups to different travel plans, depict the competitive game process of passengers among different groups for limited transportation resources, but also evaluate transportation capacity allocation, which has reference significance for railway passenger transport capacity adjustment and passenger transport product design.

     

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