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基于海量运维数据的铁路数据中心风险预测与防控系统研究与开发

Research and development of risk prediction, prevention and control system for railway data center based on massive operation and maintenance data

  • 摘要: 基于海量运维数据的风险预测和风险防控是铁路数据中心实现智能运维的基础性工作。围绕铁路数据中心智能运维需求,研究智能分析方法,依托铁路数据服务平台的大数据存储和数据共享服务能力,使用平台提供的数据预处理及模型训练、模型部署等工具,建立容量趋势预测、基于日志分析的风险预测、运行异常预测、施工风险预测等不同运维场景风险预测模型,完成模型训练、调优和测试,最后将通过实验验证的模型进行发布和上线更新。建立基于海量运维数据的铁路数据中心风险预测与防控系统,可以通过运维经验积累来改进评估指标和预测模型,提高风险预测的准确性及风险处置的有效性,帮助运维人员快速聚焦主要问题,有利于保障铁路数据中心长期安全稳定运行,夯实铁路运输生产安全的基础。

     

    Abstract: Risk prediction, prevention and control based on massive operation and maintenance data is the basic task of the railway data center to realize artificial-intelligence-based operation and maintenance. Based on the requirements of intelligent operation and maintenance of the railway data center, four intelligent operation and maintenance data analysis methods are studied. Relying on the big data storage and data sharing service capability of railway data service platform, using data analysis, model training, model deployment and other utilities provided by the platform, risk prediction models of several operation and maintenance scenarios such as capacity trend prediction, log analysis-based risk prediction, operation anomaly prediction and construction risk prediction are established, and model training, tuning and testing are also completed. Finally, the models verified via test are released and updated online. The establishment of the risk prediction, prevention and control system for railway data center based on massive operation and maintenance data can improve the evaluation index and prediction model through the accumulation of experiences in operation and maintenance, improve the accuracy of risk prediction and the effectiveness of risk disposal, and help operation and maintenance personnel quickly focus on major problems, thus guaranteeing the long-term safe and stable operation of the railway data center, and consolidating the foundation of railway transportation production safety.

     

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