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地铁闸机扇门机构故障时间序列预测研究

Study on failure time series forecasting of metro automatic gate machine’s flap mechanism

  • 摘要: 基于CNN+ LSTM混合神经网络构建故障时间序列预测模型,利用某型号地铁闸机扇门机构的故障数据进行实例分析,并与ARIMA、CNN和LSTM 3种单一预测模型对比。结果表明:CNN+LSTM混合神经网络模型的预测准确性较高,具有良好应用前景,研究成果可用于支持地铁闸机维修计划的制定和优化。

     

    Abstract: Based on CNN+LSTM hybrid neural network, a fault time series forecasting model was established for the flap mechanism of automatic gate machine for metro. And then a case analysis was presented based on this model by using the fault data of the flap mechanism of a certain type of automatic gate machine. By comparing this hybrid neural network model with other three single forecasting models that are ARIMA, CNN and LSTM, the results show that the accuracy of forecasting by this CNN+LSTM hybrid neural network model is higher and it has a good application prospect. The research results can be used to support the formulation and optimization of the maintenance plan for the flap mechanism of automatic gate machine.

     

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