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综合市场环境下高铁公布票价调整算法研究

High-speed railway ceiling-price adjustment algorithm under comprehensive market environment

  • 摘要: 为在竞争日趋激烈的交通运输市场中提升高速铁路(简称:高铁)的市场竞争力,亟需构建适配综合市场环境的高铁票价策略。文章提出综合市场环境下高铁公布票价调整算法,将成本和经济水平因素同时纳入公布票价量化调整体系,厘清经济水平对公布票价的作用机理,运用主成分分析、多元回归和成本加成定价法,探究客流、运力、运营成本及旅客支付能力等公布票价关联指标与主要经济水平指标之间的量化关系,据此测算得到市场化高铁线路公布票价,并依托历史数据开展验证试验。试验结果表明,所提算法具备良好的可行性与有效性。

     

    Abstract: To enhance the market competitiveness of high-speed railway in the increasingly competitive transportation market, it was urgent to formulate a high-speed railway fare strategy adapted to the comprehensive market environment. Therefore, this paper proposed a high-speed railway ceiling-price adjustment algorithm under the comprehensive market environment, and incorporated cost and economic level factors into the quantitative adjustment system of ceiling-prices simultaneously. It clarified the mechanism of economic level influencing ceiling-prices, and adopted principal component analysis, multiple regression and cost-plus pricing methods to explore the quantitative relationship between ceiling-price related indicators (including passenger flow, transport capacity, operating cost and passenger affordability) and major economic level indicators. On this basis, the paper calculated the market-oriented ceiling-prices of high-speed railway lines, and carried out verification experiments based on historical data. Experimental results show that the proposed algorithm has favorable feasibility and effectiveness.

     

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