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基于多轮咨询反馈的铁路网络数据高风险场景风险评估方法研究

Risk assessment method for high-risk scenarios of railway network data based on multiple-round consultation feedback

  • 摘要: 针对铁路网络数据高风险场景难以识别和评估的问题,提出一种基于多轮咨询反馈的铁路网络数据高风险场景风险评估方法。通过结合故障树分析与多轮咨询反馈机制,实现数据权重、安全风险发生概率与安全风险损失的量化,并根据量化结果识别差异化风险、计算风险值并判定风险等级。基于模拟系统进行评估实验,实验结果表明,该方法能够针对数据和系统等2个层面进行风险评估,并给出风险等级判定结果,为铁路网络数据高风险场景识别和评估工作提供了参考。

     

    Abstract: In response to the difficulty in identifying and evaluating high-risk scenarios of railway network data, this paper proposed a risk assessment method for high-risk scenarios of railway network data based on multiple-round consultation feedback. It quantified data weight, probability of safety risk occurrence, and safety risk loss by combining fault tree analysis and multi-round consultation feedback mechanism. Based on the quantified results, the paper identified differentiated risks, calculated risk values, and determined risk levels, and based on a simulation system, it conducted evaluation experiments. The experimental results show that this method can conduct risk assessment at two levels: data and system, and provide risk level determination results, provide reference for the identification and evaluation of high-risk scenarios of railway network data.

     

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